Sure, that was a long time ago, but he also has seven top 10s in nine appearances, including a T-8 when last played in 2019, a T-4 in 2016 after his 2015 win, and a loss in a playoff to Rickie Fowler in 2012. He won back in October and has three top 10s in his last four individual stroke play events -- and it could have been potentially better if not for a Sunday 77 at Augusta. Kokrak has success on this track, finishing second here in 2019 and eighth in 2018. Dating back to the API in early March, his results in stroke-play events are: 3, 7, T-14, T-8, T-4. At 60-1, it's worth a little sprinkle. -- are stepping up their shoe game. He checks every single box -- he is sixth on tour in hitting greens, ninth in tee to green and off the tee, 10th in driving accuracy and is 11th in approach and total shots gained. Josh and Ben will break down the top players in the field, and go over some of the best PGA odds, favorites, long-shots and stay-aways to build your betting card […] He is one of the top iron players and is among the best ball-strikers on the tour. This week, the best players in the world gather on the coast of South Carolina for the second major of 2021. Marks: Rahm comes in with eight top-10 finishes in his last 10 starts, and his game fits this track to a tee. After all, he finished runner-up in 2018 and also was T-2 in 2015, with a T-7 in between. For a complete ESPN.com experience, please upgrade or use a supported browser. Marks: Give me a guy who is a member at the golf course he is competing at every day of the week and twice on Sunday. NCAA: Gonzaga favorites to win '22 title The 12 best 2021 PGA Championship bets. Over Casey's two-year run at Innisbrook, he has shot par or better in seven of the eight rounds and led the field in total strokes gained, tee to green and around the green, while being second in ball striking and approach. Bearman: Full transparency -- I did not want to go here. His game has been on point as of late, and he finished in the top 10 in all three Florida swing tournaments this season. That being said, his putting his fantastic (second in shots gained), which will keep him hanging around. Marks: Cink does well on this track, with three top 10 finishes. Bearman: Quail Hollow is just as tough as Copperhead last week, and it's even longer. That has been the pattern for a few years now, so play him to win and go low on Thursday and Friday and hope he hangs on for the 2.5-to-1 payout on the top 10. Even though he missed the cut at RBC two weeks ago, he had five straight top 10s, including a win, from the Amex through The Players, all vs. top fields. PGA Tour best bets: Wells Fargo Championship By Wes Reynolds (VSiN.com) Sam Burns had been the leader or co-leader at some point in nine PGA Tour events this season. We have not seen him at all since Friday at the Masters, so hopefully he has figured something out in the month since then. His putting let him down last week and is the biggest reason he hasn't won this season. At a price of 125/1, Cink wo… His putting and success at this course points to a top 10 at +225, but I am not ready to pull the win trigger at only 18-1. 2 ranked golfers in the world taking a crack at the Copperhead Course. For one, he is 137th in hitting greens. Being third on tour in tee to green and having won here in 2017 is what gives me hope for a top 10, but there is not much value at 9-to-1 to win the way he is putting. I don't ignore the metrics often, but Rose, battling a bad back, was not himself for the eight months leading into the Masters. Paul Casey won the last two times the event was played, in 2018 and 2019, at Innisbrook in Palm Harbor Florida. Burns wins by 3 at Valspar for first PGA Tour title, Prestigious Pine Valley to allow women members. Coming off last week's Valspar Championship (won by Sam Burns), the PGA Tour heads to Charlotte for the Wells Fargo Championship. I just can't take him to win until he shows me he can. If his putter makes a solid appearance this weekend, he could finish in the top 20. Which players are the favorites this time around, who offers good odds and what props are worthwhile? Bearman: Welcome back, Mr. Rose. Marks: Ancer's iron play and putting will help him finish in the top 20 this week. ESPN Chalk home. 2021 PGA Championship props, picks: Data scientist reveals his favorites from the PGA Tour field to win, matchup plays Uncanny golf handicapper Rick Gehman releases his best bets for the major championship on the tough Ocean Course at Kiawah Island Bearman: Kokrak supports one of the best records at this course of the last few years, finishing runner-up the last time it was played in 2019 and T-8 the year before. Marks: Woodland had been dealing with a hip issue and COVID, buthe  has been feeling and playing great as of late. Round 1 of the Valspar Championship is in the books with Keegan Bradley cruising to a first-round lead, shooting an outstanding 7-under 64. Golf betting tips: PGA Championship. NFL: Highest win totals: Chiefs, Bucs PGA Tour golf best bets: Valspar Championship. What does this fight mean for Terence Crawford? He is 16th on tour in strokes gained tee to green, 15th on approach and 17th overall. Marks: Grillo missed the cut last week after an impressive first round. He is also middle of the pack in strokes gained tee to green, which I consider the most important metric this week. PGA Tour best bets: Wells Fargo Championship, Pacquiao to end 2-year layoff with Spence fight, McMillan: Comments about Knicks 'out of context', Sources: Mariners fear spread after positive test, Source: Mahomes ready for work after surgery, Lefty hits 'em straight, has clubhouse lead at PGA, PG Henderson first junior to sign with G League, Texas recruit to skip HS season, prep for college, 49ers move on from WR Lee 4 days after signing, The greatest college baseball game ever: 'The heartache is what made it more memorable', Stop everything you're doing and watch Simone Biles' Yurchenko double pike vault, The circus has left town: Ramirez-Taylor is how boxing is supposed to be, Ringside Seat: Boxing gets it right with undisputed bout between Jose Ramirez and Josh Taylor. After enduring a wet and delayed final round to win the AT&T Byron Nelson on Sunday, Lee earned the final spot in next weeks’ PGA Championship. Bearman: Despite his T-13 finish last week at Copperhead, JT isn't playing well enough to only get 9-1 on your money for the win. Fallica: Ancer has just one top 10 since mid-October, but most of his performances have been very respectable -- eight top-20 finishes, with just two missed cuts. Simpson is also first in scrambling, first in bogey avoidance and fifth in driving accuracy. Last weekend, he was finally able to keep the lead and won the Valspar Championship by three strokes over Keegan Bradley at a price of 70-1. So, we've checked the boxes on course history and course metrics... what about recent form? No more 'generic Dad Nikes': How MLB umpires -- yes, umpires! If he can continue accurately getting it off the tee and hitting greens, we are hoping his flat stick shows up. No. Privacy Policy and Safety Information / Your California Privacy Rights. 2021 Honda Classic picks, predictions, odds, field grade, best bets at PGA National The final leg of the Florida swing has arrived, … It won’t be a typical PGA Championship thanks to the inevitable winds of coastal golf, and the setup of the longest major on record should keep scores in check throughout the week. He is 15th in strokes gained tee to green, eighth in driving distance, seventh in bogey avoidance and 27th putting this season. UFC viewers guide: Cody Garbrandt has been to the top and has bottomed out -- where does he stand now? The Conners express is locked and loaded. His game has never been in better form, and he should be in the mix this weekend. That is not a recipe for success at this course. You don't often see McIlroy at 18-1 anywhere, and although his recent play would make you think the odds should be longer, it's still a good price for a guy who owns this course. Hehas played well at Copperhead, with a T-5 in his last appearance in 2018, as well as a T-5 in 2011 and T-8 in 2014. He was T-16 here in 2018 and won't allow the "Snake Pit" to intimidate him. Sometimes, you just don't have to overthink it and go with the guy who has owned this course and is getting good odds. Kokrak is 24th in hitting greens this season, 24th in total strokes gained and 18th off the tee. Copperhead has tight fairways and challenging greens, which necessitates a strong tee-to-green hitter. All that being said, there isn't a track that Rory does better on than Quail Hollow. Flying under the radar, Hoffman has gone 2, T-11, T-18 in the last three events and went T-10, T-17 at the API and The Players in March. And he has recent success here, finishing T-9 in his last appearance in 2018. 4h. I'll look for him to improved on that. After having one top 20 in nine appearances from last year's August PGA Championship to this year's Arnold Palmer Invitational, Rose stormed out to the first-round lead at the Masters, finished seventh and followed it up with a T-11 last week with partner Henrik Stenson at the Zurich Classic. If his putter cooperates, we can consider him to finish in the top 20. His putter has let him down, as he is 92nd in putting this season. Casey's iron game is one of the best on tour, and he is among the best at avoiding bogeys. The 2020 Masters Tournament saw a brand-new scoring record set in the first-ever fall edition of golf’s premier event. However, outside of his win at Sawgrass in March, Thomas had not been able to put his entire game together, with only one other top 10 on the card since the Masters last November (third at a small field at Sentry). He's also 32nd tee to green and ninth off the tee. He also added another top 10 in 2015. Bearman: Quail Hollow's length and toughness line up well for Finau, who is sixth in tee to green and 11th overall in strokes gained. Sports betting analyst Chris "The Bear" Fallica, sports betting deputy editor David Bearman and fantasy analyst Anita Marks offer their best bets. Dustin Johnson shot two rounds of 7-under, 65 and finished at minus-20 in a five-stroke victory over Cameron Smith and Sungjae Im to dethrone Tiger Woods and win his first green jacket. If not for a rain relay at the Masters, JT would possibly be coming in with two major wins on his bag in 2021. He is also eighth in both driving accuracy and in greens in regulation, two important metrics at Quail Hollow. This is a course that sits Reed's game to a tee, considering he eats up tough courses. MLB: Best bets for the 2021 season 5pts win Jordan Spieth at 16/1 (William Hill, bet365, BetVictor) 3pts win Dustin Johnson at 20/1 (William Hill, bet365) Rory badly missed the cut at The Players and The Masters and didn't make it out of group play at the match play. Putting will be crucial this week, and Niemann's putter is dialed in at the moment. Sports betting analyst Chris "The Bear" Fallica, sports betting deputy editor David Bearman and fantasy analyst Anita Marks offer their best bets. Fallica: About the only thing to nit-pick about Conners' game is his current struggles around the green. The ultimate battle of recent form vs. course history will be on this play in North Carolina this week. PGA Championship 2021 picks: The 13 best bets to win at Kiawah. PGA Tour best bets: Wells Fargo Championship Rory McIlroy hasn't been playing very well, but Quail Hollow is a course he has … 1 and No. Rahm is fourth in strokes gained tee to green, T-3 in strokes gained off the tee and 17th on approach. For the straight forecast, I have Rahm and Xander Schauffele to finish 1-2 (and vice versa) at 170-1 (at DK). He had some spurts, closing Friday's round with three birdies in his last seven holes, but ultimately could not put it all together to get us the usual cashed ticket. Marks: Hoffman is dialed in, sporting three top-10 finishes in his last seven events. He is fourth in strokes gained putting on Bermuda greens while down south. I also like Niemann (-159 at DK) in matchup play over Jason Day. He will be a candidate for a live play over the weekend if you see his putter get hot, just like it did at Sawgrass in March. Below, we look at the 2021 Masters betting odds, and make our PGA … Marks: I'm getting the two-time defending champion to finish in the top 10 at plus money!. Fallica: Louis has gone T-2, T-16 and T-7 in his last three trips here and will probably be itching to get after it following the runner-up finish in New Orleans last weekend. May 18, 2021 11:36 am. He has one one of the best short games around, and that will be key to his success this week. That being said, he finished fourth in his last appearance here in 2018 and plays well on long tracks. For sure ... he won his only major here in 2017 and led the field in tee to green last week in Tampa. Which players are the favorites this time around, who offers good odds and what props are worthwhile? He has become one of my favorite golf plays week in and week out and, yet, this course might be the best fit of all of them. He is 15th on approach this year, so if he does hit the fairways, he tends to hit the greens. Do I think he can win? This week, the PGA Tour is in in New Orleans for the Zurich Classic at TPC Louisiana. The last to win an event three straight years? Watch ». NBA: Nets title faves after LeBron injury Coming off last week's team event in Louisiana, the PGA Tour returns to traditional play this week for the Valspar Championship. If there ever was a course that would right the ship for him, it would be this one. And now… he’s applying that insider knowledge to help you make proper picks each week with his best bets and predictions. However, there are a few things that bother me about his current game that are holding me back. This course is a great fit for his game, and he has excelled on Florida courses in the past. If Kokrak can hit the greens and not have to save holes, he should be in contention for a top 10, with a chance to cash the 33-to-1 winning ticket. Bearman: Of all the longer shots out there, Grillo's game fits the Quail Hollow track the best. Let's not forget that before his bad play began at Sawgrass, he had five top 10s in the previous 10 worldwide events. Let's hope his son, Reagan, who caddied for him in his win a couple of weeks ago, is back on his bag. NBA playoffs 2021: Everything you need to know about the 20 teams in the mix. Steve Stricker in 2009-11 at the John Deere. I'm not fading him, considering he has had a few extra days to work out the kinks. You have reached a degraded version of ESPN.com because you're using an unsupported version of Internet Explorer. Fallica: Kokrak has enjoyed one heck of a year so far. He has been a runner-up here, as well as finishing in the top 10 a couple other times. Marks: This will be the newly-engaged Zalatoris' first go at Quail Hollow, but playing events for the first time hasn't been an issue for the Wake Forest golfer. A daily sports betting news and information show (6-7 p.m. This is a ball-strikers course, and Grillo is one of the best on tour, sporting +21 strokes gained off the tee and +23 on proximity from 200 yards out in his last 24 rounds. And that's before looking at how well he has played this season. Marks: Rose is another golfer who checks a lot of boxes you want this week; he usually plays well in Florida, putts well on fast Bermuda greens and has three top 10s in his last five appearances. Marks: JT's metric screams he should win this event, being one of the best tee-to-green players on tour (fourth) and second this season on approach. The fact that he has both the distance and accuracy stands out. The Copperhead course is tight with challenging greens, so good ball-striking is paramount, and Casey is among the best. Bearman: If you are going to give me 22-to-1 odds on a guy who has won here the last two times it was played, I am going to jump all over it. At 14-1, I'll take my chances among the favorites instead of laying 9-1 with Justin Thomas' cold putter or Jon Rahm, who has only played here once (when it hosted the PGA Championship in 2017). He is long off the tee (ranked T-27) and is fifth in bogey avoidance this season. Add the fact that he has five top 25s here and he's a good guy to have on your board. At 45-1, he is worth a flier to continue his recent good form at a tough track. He ranks in the top five in strokes gained on approach in his last 24 rounds. So a tough, long, hard course that takes good ball-striking to win? I usually play him in the top 20, but his metrics scream success on this track. But I am not running away, as he still has seven top 10s in 19 events this season and is eight in shots gained off the tee, ninth in tee to green, 10th in approach and 11th in total. It has been a good two months since we saw McIlroy play well, with a T-10 at the Arnold Palmer, but that ended with a final-round 76. He has struggled some around the greens this year, but he posted a top 20 in his only go-around here. Enter DeChambeau, the PGA Tour's leader in shots gained off the tee, tee to green, overall and driving distance. Marks: Im had an impressive Florida swing a few weeks back, and I expect him to pick up where he left off. He is third on tour this season hitting greens, at 73 percent. He is top 20 in strokes off the tee and top 15 in total strokes gained. Sam Burns (+4500): It’s hard to find a golfer coming into this tournament any hotter than Sam Burns. Best bets for PGA Tour’s Valspar Championship Paul Casey will try to become the first player in 10 years and the 10th since World War II to three-peat at a PGA … Bearman: I was looking for one more flier to take this week and was pleasantly surprised with how well Hoffman was been playing. I'm feeling this is the year he finishes in the top 40, if not better. Marks: Niemann comes in hot after finishing T-8 at the Valspar. He is fifth in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approach this season. Putting is the top metric that matters this week, and Simpson ranks 13th in strokes gained putting this season. Josh Engleman and Ben Rasa are coming to you with their favorite PGA betting picks and prop bets for the Wells Fargo Championship this weekend. With the post-Masters lull over, who's hot and not as the PGA Championship draws near? It's only his third time teeing it up at this event, but the metrics match the long, tough course, so I am sticking with him. 2021 PGA Championship Best Value Picks. By Alex Myers. Despite not having his "A" game, Conners still managed a T-21 last week at the tough Copperhead track. Grillo comes into the event playing well, posting top-6 finishes in Punta Cana and the RBC. In his own backyard, this is his tournament to lose. He held a piece of the lead in each of the first three rounds in his only appearance at Innisbrook in 2018 before a final-round 77 knocked him out. He is currently 24th in tee to green this season and 14th on approach. The poor accuracy contributes to his middle of the pack greens in regulation percentage, another important stat to winning the Wells Fargo. The only thing holding me back from being higher on this pick is that he ranks 171st on tour in work around the green. He is eighth in strokes gained tee to green, 20th in driving distance, fourth in approach and T-22 in bogey avoidance this season. I also have him at 30-1 to be the leader at the end of the first round and at -125 (at DraftKings) in matchup play over Viktor Hovland. Los Angeles Lakers. Max Homa, winner at The Genesis in February, is the defending champion at Quail Hollow Club. He missed the cut last week at the Valspar after a second-round 76 ruined his opening 66. The tournament is slotted in the perfect spot on the PGA TOUR calendar to attract a strong field, which includes the No.
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